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Any time you use technical analysis, confirmation is essential.
If you’re not willing to confirm, you’re doing yourself a great disservice. In fact, at no time will I ever just use Bollinger Bands (2,20), MACD, relative strength, or Williams’ R% alone.
That’s an amateur, foolish move.
All of a sudden, there’s a gap in the chart of your favorite stock.
Surprise news, earnings, something unexpected caused a bout of extreme optimism or pessimism that resulted in the move.
With the incredibly popular Avengers: Endgame film, shares of Disney Co. exploded from a low of $107.50 to $142.50 in April 2019.
After the film grossed $1.2 billion in its opening weekend (biggest in history), analysts were still seen raising price targets. JP Morgan noted the stock could run to $150 a share by the end of the year.
I love when traders tell me technical analysis doesn’t work.
While they’re entitled to be wrong, the fact remains that technical analysis does work, sometimes by up to 80% of the time. Granted, there is no Holy Grail, but if we use the right indicators, we increase our odds of success. Especially if we apply those indicators to well known stocks that may only be down temporarily.
Early October 2018 was quite painful for the average investor. Today, we are seeing the same problem with the Covid-9 pandemic.
The major indices fell out of the sky. The tech-heavy NASDAQ fell from 8,100 to 7,300. The S&P 500 dropped from 2,925 to 2,725.
It’s not about having the perfect strategy.
It’s about the rule you abide by with each trade.
One of the biggest issues facing all walks of traders is a severe lack of discipline and structure in stock buying habits. Many fail to use stop losses, or even protect gains with a simple trailing stop loss strategy. Others risk far too much.